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中粮期货试错交易:12月26日市场观察|中粮新浪财经

    中粮期货试错交易:12月26日市场观察,第一象限(杠杆象限)-大宗商品下跌势头不仅加速了现货资金的撤离,煤短裤占据主导地位,化工行业也经历了向下和停顿的浪潮。今天的商品指数下跌1.59%,工业产品下降2.20%,农产品下降0.41%。其中,煤炭行业下降3.27%,化工行业下降2.68%,软工业部门增长1.60%,建材行业1.16%,油脂行业0.99%,有色金属行业0.70%,饲料行业0.24%,粮食行业0.40%,贵金属0.44%。2018,美联储连续四季度提高利率,导致美国股市恐慌指数VIX指数上升19.79%,在期权市场未来市场的恐惧增加,危险因素的高浓度由美国政府关闭造成的,由此引发的关于全球经济放缓investors'concerns经济增长与货币环境趋紧,而抛售风险资产。今天,中国央行推出500亿元逆回购操作,但1400亿元逆回购到期,实现900亿元的净回购,也蒙上了一层阴影对市场的流动性状况在今年年底。今天的商品下跌加速,继续打新的年度低点,和短的趋势仍在继续。在一天的短暂的价格差距,煤炭板块领跌商品降幅最大,最主要的部门的增长势头也奠定了在市场下跌时的语气。同时,通过在外部市场原油崩溃的影响,化工板块,原油和燃料油为代表,大幅下跌集体和各种面板打停盘。中国进口391万4000桶原油,每天从沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯、伊朗在十一月和美国。库存压力急剧增加,这使得原油及其下游产业链品种继续弱势,很难在短期内提高。At present, the linkage in the chemical industry sector is the strongest in the market, so chemical industry will continue to be the focus of our test. The short market broke out, the capital continued to flow out, and the turnover continued to adjust. Today, the Mandarin Commodity Index closed at 1.59%. Most commodities continued to fall, intra-day price spreads collectively strengthened, and many chemical products fell and stopped. 市场总流出是10亿6600万,和主要交易品种的总降水量的909亿7700万,这不仅树立了一个新的低的一年,也是突破1000亿关口连续十八个交易日内,将突破900亿大关。白天,黑、化工、农产品、二大板块流出2亿9000万、2亿4500万、7亿9200万分别以0.1%、1.66%的比例分别为3.32%和0.4%,流出。其中,黑色系资金更新为294亿5600万元,然后达到一个新的低。在化工行业资金145亿3600万元,调整后的新的一年新的低。农产品和主要部门的资金继续疲软,维持很长一段时间,在今年的低位调整。在数量上,2423万6400手交易的今天。黑色,化学和二大板块上涨16.32%,分别为25.95%和4.03%。农产品板块下跌10.78%。成交量反弹有限,继续低位调整。总体而言,商品共同削弱了天,化工产品表现出突出的性能,更多的交易机会;但资金继续在今年是低的,并没有改变下降的趋势;成交量保持低位调整,没有改善。在对市场各方面数据表现持续疲弱。建议投资者降低交易频率,锁定日内利润和积极控制隔夜风险。Soybean meal low shock adjustment, the downward trend remains unchanged. From the supply point of view, Brazil's soybean sowing progress in 2018/19 is ahead of schedule, the beginning of growth reaches the best level, and the highest yield is expected to reach 129 million tons. At the same time, the domestic soybean and soybean meal stocks are still at a high level in the same period of history. As shown in the figure below, the total soybean meal stocks of oil factories in the main coastal areas of China are significantly higher than those in previous years, an increase of 48.84% over the same period of last year. 目前,豆粕供应充足。从需求的角度来看,有非洲猪瘟在中国没有有效的疫苗,所以非洲猪瘟有一个长期的趋势,在市场生猪存量仍在下降,和生产能力的持续下降对豆粕的需求难以提高。此外,由于中国和美国的关系出现缓和,中国开始进口大豆和油料近期启动率开始小幅上涨,豆粕供应增加,供应压力仍然很高,而下降的趋势在短期内难以改变。二象限(象限低量保护交换)不能清偿,等到明年。上海指数收盘下跌0.87%,为2505.07;深圳综合指数收盘下跌0.81%,为7332.35;中小企业倒闭0.54% 4785.35;和创业板收盘下跌0.85%,在1273.45。市场成交量小幅上涨,卖方的力量是强大的。这两个城市的总成交量为3亿4000万手,交易金额为2759亿3000万元。主要净流出量为9兆2023亿元,A股通过上海香港和深圳香港的净流出量为1亿4800万元。行业板块下跌,日用化工、环保、钢铁、煤炭领跌。Premier Li Keqiang of the State Council chaired the executive meeting of the State Council on December 24 to deploy more support to private economy and small and medium-sized enterprises, enhance the vitality and development confidence of market players; decided to cancel the bank account license of enterprises, compress the period of trademark patent examination, and comprehensively implement the "double random, one open" Market supervision. On the 24th, the Securities Regulatory Commission Party Committee (expanded) meeting conveyed the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference and studied the work of promoting capital market reform, development and stability in 2019. The SFC said that efforts should be made to maintain the stable and healthy development of the capital market, to implement the requirements of "six stability" in all aspects of capital market supervision, and to speed up capital market reform and expand opening up. 从证监会下一阶段来看,资本市场监管九个方面将是资本市场监管的方向,如创新板,防范风险,多层次资本市场再融资。回到市场,K线上看,市场受到隔夜美国股市的影响跳低并接近一年的低,下午的护盾强度打开,遗憾的是最终还是退去。主力资金净流出已经再次加强。有两市38只个股,两市8只个股。The price gap is weak, the quantity can be enlarged, and there is a momentum of accelerating the decline. The future is not optimistic. On the plate, there are not too many bright spots on the industry plate. The A-share market has entered the junk time at the end of the year, and the specific actions need to be taken after a year. 第三象限(资源象限)——股票市场增长的波动、减税和减价面临的两难困境。截至11月18日,中国基金会注册私募基金12兆7900亿元,比上月增加0.16%,增长仍来自私募股权基金。and venture capital funds. From the figure above, the scale and proportion of private equity funds and venture capital funds have gradually increased since February, while the size of securities investment funds has gradually declined. Eighteen years has been a bumpy year for the venture capital industry. From the new capital management regulations in the first half of the year to the de-leveraging and then to the Sino-US trade war, the capital in the market was cut off and the overall economic environment was depressed, which made the industry cold winter. Since the second half of the year, the direction of national policy has been adjusted. In the second and third quarters, the meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee made clear fiscal and monetary policies, and strengthened the role of the capital market. 习近平主席亲自着手稳定民营企业发展,并在技术创新板上逐步走近快速发展轨道。According to our global asset model, with the economic rotation, venture capital industry plays a decisive role in the current environment. Because of the difficulty in raising funds, the major investment institutions focus more on defense, but this does not mean that they will not start. In the long run, the venture capital industry is still full of rising momentum. The new tax deduction rules have been finalized. The annual wages, service remuneration, manuscript remuneration and royalties obtained by individuals are integrated into the income. On the basis of the original allowable deduction of "three insurance and one fund", children's education, continuing education, interest on housing loans, housing rent, support for the elderly and serious illness medical treatment are added. The six new deductions are all related to people's livelihood, sufficiently reflecting the government's determination in the current economic environment, which is in line with the purpose of tax reduction and fee reduction at the Central Economic Conference on Friday. Similarly, in the current economic conference, the government faced the difficulties of domestic and foreign troubles directly, strengthened a series of policy means, and solved the problems pertinently. 在过去的18年中,整个风险投资行业已经深深地影响了。在过去19年的经济预期仍处于低潮,和行业机构需要提前准备。由于萎缩的估值,从长期来看,这一时期也是优质的项目一个很好的出发时间,这就考验投资者的专业性。我们坚信,创投行业将变得更健康后,经历了艰难的时期。第四象限(信用象限)-商品住宅库存继续下降。集体土地不再是“必须为国有”。根据统计局的数据显示,从一月至十一月,全国房地产开发投资11兆83亿元,比去年同期增长9.7%,与增长率在一月至十月同。其中,住宅投资7兆8027亿元,同比增长13.6%,而增长率下降了0.1个百分点。对房地产开发投资70.9%住宅投资账户。In terms of sales, from January to November, the sales area of commercial housing was 1486.04 million square meters, up 1.4% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped 0.8 percentage points compared with January to October. The sales volume of commercial housing was 1295.08 billion yuan, up 12.1%, and the growth rate dropped 0.4 percentage points. In terms of inventory, at the end of November, the area for sale of commercial housing was 526.27 million square meters, which was 1.62 million square meters less than that at the end of October. 从统计局公布的宏观数据,可以看出,房地产市场十一月维持稳步的发展,但是从最新的二手房价格数据,近70%的全国城市房价继续恢复几个月的势头,这足以证明国内住房市场T有大幅降温调控背景下。与以前不同的是,在第三、第四线城市已显着扩大最近房价的下降,这意味着赶上第一和第二层下降。这晚的下降就不难解释。首先,这是周期性旋转的结果。首先,当一线城市的崛起,他们带头,然后第二,第三和第四线城市跟进,反过来,他们跌倒时,有一种自然的秩序;另一方面,调控政策收紧。The earliest regulation of the first-tier cities began in the "930 New Deal" in 2016. So far, the short-term restrictions are still firmly pressed on the property market in the northern upper and deeper regions, while the third and fourth-tier cities only introduced part of the regulation policies in the second half of this year, so the impact of regulation on housing prices in the region was revealed. At the end of 2018, China's land system ushered in substantive changes again. 最近,修改新的土地管理办法发布。最有趣的内容可以概括如下:非农建设用地不再是`必须是国有的,工商小产权房将被修正,及相关法律法规的同时,修订。这意味着集体土地不需要经过“国有化”过程中的冗余,但可以直接上市的工业和商业用房建设。这意味着,在地方政府土地市场供给方的垄断有望被打破,和地方政府的财政收入将大大降低。然而,直接加入合适的集体土地进入市场将大大减少工业和商业用地成本,直接受益的房地产企业的发展。然而,这种土地制度改革,同时严格限制实施范围,住宅项目被排除在外,也就是说,集体土地直接进入市场,可以不建的住宅产品,现有住宅的小产权房不能“纠正”。Therefore, the impact of the new land regulations on the housing market is relatively small, and its main impact will be the future industrial and commercial real estate market. Foreign Exchange Plate: The negotiations between the White House and the Federal Reserve went smoothly. The RMB market rose steadily with the mid-price, rising 210 points to a new high in nearly two weeks. As the U.S. government was in partial shutdown and the White House and the Federal Reserve confronted openly, investors cut exposure to high-risk assets and the dollar fell to a four-month low against the yen. On December 25, the yuan rose steadily against the dollar in early Tuesday morning, rising 210 points to a new high in nearly two weeks. Overnight USD index was depressed by multiple factors, while Sino-US negotiations continued relatively smoothly, and demand for foreign exchange settlement was partly boosted; however, major global financial markets were closed during Christmas, early market liquidity was lower than before, and the RMB trading range was slightly upward. Whether the Federal Reserve can maintain its independence and fears that the US economy may fall into recession are likely to put pressure on the Dollar bull, which eases the external pressure on the RMB and boosts the market demand for foreign exchange settlement. However, whether China and the United States can reach a trade agreement remains a variable, and it is still difficult for the RMB to appreciate or depreciate substantially, so the idea of interval operation can be maintained in the short term. The dollar fell against the yen and the Swiss Franc on Tuesday as investors cut exposure to risky assets amid a partial halt in the federal government and signs of conflict between white officials and the Federal Reserve. 美国股市星期一下降了2%以上,而石油价格下跌超过6%,星期一的假期驱动的最后一天,在华盛顿的情况,加深了明年的全球经济增长放缓investors'concerns。美国股市波动率指数升至36.1,自2月6日触及50.30简要的最高水平。美国总统特朗普抨击美联储星期一,称它是“唯一的问题”的美国经济。前几天,据报道,特朗普曾讨论解雇美联储主席鲍威尔。当股票市场下跌加剧,美国财政部长Nouchin举行了一次会议,星期一与总统金融市场工作组,俗称暴跌保护小组。但召开这样的会议,通常只在严重的市场动荡的时代,对安抚市场没有影响。这可能削弱投资者的信心,其结果是适得其反。美国总统特朗普和国会的民主党领导人互相指责星期一对美国政府部分关闭并没有采取具体的行动来解决问题的迹象。全球股市大幅下跌以来,十月初在中国和美国之间的贸易争端的担忧,加息和特朗普的减税政策。许多市场被关闭在星期二的圣诞假期,而其他货币交易地。欧元兑美元几乎持平在1.1410美元,上星期一上涨0.33%。商品货币是新的压力,石油价格下跌超过6%,星期一下。中间价人民币兑美元是6.8919元,美国6.9006元今天最后一天。试交易市场观察来源于独家全球资产管理模型和误差的分析与研究。GAM俱乐部简介GAM(全球资产管理)俱乐部依托中金大金融平台的优势,如期货、信托、保险、银行和产业基金,建立投资者与投资者的沟通渠道,得到强有力的支持,许多金融机构和知名大学参与ties, collides with the spark of wisdom, and promotes new financial capital, new technology and new products. 新模型。GAM Club brings together experts from futures, options, stocks, equity, real estate, foreign exchange, bonds, gold and other industries to discuss investment opportunities and asset allocation trends in the global market, deduce algorithms and models, improve the efficiency of asset allocation and reduce asset management risks. Strategic Trading Department is mainly responsible for global asset management model and strategy research and development, and provides futures brokerage, investment consulting, trading training, fee-paying research and report business. Team members are mainly composed of PhD, Master and Bachelor of Finance, Economics, Mathematics and Computer. The proportion of PhD and Master is more than 60%. Youth, professionalism and high quality are the symbol of the team. 多年来,它一直被评为公司的优秀部门,是中粮期货增长最快的部门。试验和错误的交易受到了广泛的好评,因为它是在2012推出市场,并已经成为行业知名品牌,具有较高知名度和影响力。的scjy专业交易能力的培训课程,这是由多方共同推出,提供从入门到高级专家对实际交易的目的,课程的不同阶段。它致力于培训和交易能力的培养。它已经帮助许多客户提高他们的交易情况,走上职业交易之路。它已经成为期货行业第一培训品牌在人员方面的大小。K线聚类模型和市场结构的图像识别模型的人工智能技术的发展是在期货行业的领先地位,在该领域领先的研究趋势。风险:张耀文期货投资咨询证书号z0013564王俊期货投资咨询证书号z0013699彭书肆投资咨询资格证书z0013758号1。这一战略的观点是基于提供给研究人员的信息,与实际结果可能大不相同由于条件有限。投资者必须独立做出交易决策。本公司不保证交易的结果。2。市场的不确定性,和过去的战略观点一致,不保证当前的战略观点的正确性。公司和其他研究人员可以从这些策略表达了不同的意见。三。在法律允许的范围内,一个公司或附属机构可能涉及的品种进行交易,也可能为其他公司的交易提供服务。责任编辑:吴华张

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城市小广告的暴力美学

    本文来自微信公众号:上流UpFlow(ID:heyupflow),作者:井万,编辑:大锤,头图来自:视觉中国。周末逛街的时候路过一个牛排店,看着服务生在门口发小广告,离着五米我就把手伸出来,像往常一样等待小广告自动发送到我手里。等我抓到传单的那一刻,明显感觉他放手的时候有些迟疑,我寻思他一定是第一次出来发传单不好意思。出门在外都不容易,必须帮一把,我一下子扥过来那张传单,心里想着不用感谢我,我做好事从不留名。看着传单有些不对劲,结果发现,我把人家点菜的单子拿过来了。也对,真正的小广告怎么可能扭扭捏捏、藏着掖着。人家可一贯以暴力的姿态行走于江湖,你不看也得看。小广告,无处不在 在山的那边,海的那边,有一片小广告,它们鸡贼又多情,它们鲜艳又冷静……小广告学名“城市牛皮癣”,它们就像病毒一样无规则无限制地繁衍在城市的各个角落。▲改革春风吹满地,小广告还没过气小广告已经基本实现了与我们每天的低头不见抬头见。它们大大小小的广告牌、贴纸、小卡片、印章等多种形式,刚好就填补了墙面、电线杆子、宣传牌的空白,无时无刻不在刺激着我们脆弱的视觉神经。低头走路日常偶遇“包小姐”▼抬头发现“诚信小贷不要钱”▼上个厕所,小广告告诉你电话号码是怎样炼成的▼走到家门口还能有“疏通下水道”的夹道欢迎实在忍不了了出门散散心。酒店一共就住了两三个小时还被塞了小卡片想要解决我的情感问题……▲我就纳了闷了,都快201期盼的反义词_科室主任网9年了,怎么还有人照大头贴? ▲远在巴黎的地铁也难逃小广告的侵袭,来源:人民日报网所以说小广告是暴力的,暴力占领了人们目之所及的地方。除此之外它们又来源广、扩散快、更新周期短。永远在被撕掉、被覆盖、被打击,永远都生生不息。哪怕面对同样残暴的同行,小广告们从不退缩,人们甚至能在电线杆子上就能目睹它们为争夺同一块市场的厮杀。它们表面王二小的电影_阳光易德网上完完整整,背地里不知道踏碎了多少张体无完肤的“别人家的广告。”有人会怀疑:贴个小广告这么努力,真的会有人相信小广告上的东西嘛?这你就不懂行了,人家相信宁可错贴一千不可少贴一个海马骑士7_郑明生网。相信成功是百分之九十九的汗水,和百分之一的运气:百分之九十九的你不信,可总有百分之一的人信。并且现在随着移动端的风生水起,小广告也与时俱进向线上进发了。扫码拿充电宝、拿气球、拿汽水等等在地上扫荡着,扫码就能拿到礼物。但为了免费礼物加到的好友与公号经常是哪怕跪着也要删完,因为太多了……为了免去这道费事的工序,珍爱手机,还是告诫自己远离不知名二维码。无所不能小广告,满足你的一切需要 小广告的内心以天下为己任,内容覆盖面极广,堪称广告界的“闲人马大姐”,为我国人民的吃喝拉撒,生存繁衍都操碎了心。出门儿忘带钥匙没关系,门口早就有修锁大师们排队等着来“解救”你。去年年前有一次忘带钥匙,有幸体验了一次开锁服务,发现人家的工具好像比我钥匙还好用,三下两下就给我把防盗门捅开了,当时我就想上去问问他这工具网上有卖的不。但我需要是需要,你们能不能对我温柔点儿。一言不合就给防盗门糊一脸这谁受得了……需要一个家?各种“没有中间商赚差价”的卖房租房,被精准地投放在小区楼道、电线杆子、和小区墙体等各种空间。上大学担心毕不了业?慌啥。学校出门左拐公共厕所门哪儿哪儿都是“代写论文”、“英语四六级包过”、“国家计算机二级包过”、“私人侦探”等,完美应对了大学生的生活、学习甚至情感问题。说到“繁衍”,也一点都不夸张。因为总有楚楚动人、肤白貌美的年轻女子重金求子。不为别的,就为当妈。简直可怜巴巴、情真意切,激发你“做好事不留名”的内心潜质……所以有时候真觉得小广告是万能的。什么办证刻章车票发票、月嫂保姆家政服务、麻将扑克牌九技巧、管道疏通家电维修、高价回收冬虫夏草......不论你生活中遇到什么小困难,它们总会用文字和图片传递给你一种精神:人间有真情,人间有真爱。不过这些当然都不可信,哪有那么大的馅饼不砸别人就砸你?拨个电话就能解决的话,还上什么学?重金求子要靠谱,排队人数估计都能绕地球一圈,哪儿能轮得到你?“金牌乙方”的求生之道 虽然总有甲方一次又一次的修改意见令人印堂发黑,但小广告却能自信成全世界的完美乙方。但如果设计小广告的是乙方的话,那它们一定能成为“金牌乙方”。小广告所总是可以把所有需求都硬生生地砸在一张纸上,并自信地告诉你:“你想要的,我都有。”● 超大Logo,色彩酷炫不光Logo大,重要卖点上色加粗,并且还能绚丽夺目,吸引眼球,简直甲方的贴心小棉袄。● 文案粗暴,海量覆盖,无孔不入在文案方面简单粗暴,直截了当。“大海边的四合院,四合院里有大海”这种话也就只有小广告印得出来。我还见过一个楼盘的广告贴在垃圾桶上,写着“一扇窗,万里河山”,虽然山是没有,河倒是有一圈绿得发黑的水沟……至于他们的投放量,应该就不用我再多说了吧。堪称全污秽的反义词_画蛇添足近义词网方位、立体化,部分地点看得我密集恐惧症都要犯了,就差直接往墙上泼油漆了。● 低调奢华,投放精准街道上小鲜肉代言的手机品牌可能紧挨着的就是“专治不孕不育”,北京13号线地铁口随处可见“上午植发,下午上班”,而租房卖房的旁边也大多都贴着整张的“真情求缘”。最要命的是这些小广告的一线工作者还敬业又高效,“职业素养”极高,实在对得起“金牌乙方”的称号。眼前的显然不是简单扎堆在一起的小广告,而是它们纷繁复杂的产业链。商家们为了让更多的人给自己的生意捧场,无尽地印发纸张,这无疑是让人有病乱投医。这种让小广告帮助宣传的出发点能理解,但外面多的是欺骗人的套路,不论是贷款免息还是重金求子,都是骗子的套路,宁可信其无,不可信其有。除此之外还特别影响城市形象。人家小区刚刷好的大白墙,几张小广告印上去马上又显得又脏又乱。并且小广告的清理又极为繁琐,专业人员也经常需要花费大量的时间。便民服务展板根本满足不了小广告们的胃口,我看干脆在人员冗杂的地方放一块二维码,手机扫码之后弹出查看各类型信息的小程序。不浪费纸张还能经常更新,真正实现无纸化小广告,能达到商家宣传和方便老百姓的双重目的。而且话又说回来了,重金求子、真情求缘什么的就别掺和了。重不重金、真不真情不知道,可违不违法自己心里没点数吗?面对无处不在的小广告,你做过什么有效的挣扎吗?参考文献:[1]荆楚网,巴黎地铁惊现中文小广告[EB/OL],2013-04-19[2]澎湃新闻,上海南京路小广告难禁止:一人一天发万张,用对讲机逃避城管[EB/OL],2016-08-09[3]都市时报,街头小世界杯是什么_平洲租房网广告的生命力为何如此顽强?[EB/OL],2018-08-16[4]X博士,街头小广告简直是艺术[EB/OL],2018-12-08本文来自微信公众号:上流UpFlow(ID:heyupflow),作者:井万,编辑:大锤,头图来自:视觉中国。

    

    

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